Bitcoin (BTC) has had a rough few months. The largest cryptocurrency by market cap climbed to an all-time high of $126,080 in October of 2025, before facing a steep correction. Market trends changed and investors moved away from high-risk assets, especially Bitcoin (BTC) and the larger cryptocurrency market. The move was fueled by increased geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic uncertainty. The US-Iran conflict, which kicked off in February 2026, put additional strain on the economy due to energy shortages and crude oil price spikes. Inflation in the US hit 4.2% for May, leading to more investor worry. However, things could change later this year. Let’s discuss why Bitcoin (BTC) may see an upswing in H2 of 2026.
Bullish Bitcoin In In H2 Of 2026?
Bearish forces have dictated Bitcoin’s and the larger crypto market’s trajectory in the last few months. But H2 of 2026 could bring some relief to investors. Firstly, we could see an end to the US-Iran conflict. The war has been a bane for the global economy and a peace deal could ease global energy shortages. An end to the war may also elevate investor sentiment, and risk appetite could increase. Bitcoin (BTC) stands to benefit greatly under such circumstances.
Secondly, we could finally see the passing of the highly anticipated CLARITY Act. The legislation aims to bring more regulatory clarity and investor protection in the crypto market. This could also greatly increase investor confidence, leading to higher investments. Bitcoin (BTC) may see some positive price action if the CLARITY Act is passed.
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Thirdly, ETF inflows could pick up the pace later this year after increased outflows in the last few weeks. ETFs have become a key driver for crypto prices. Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) hit new peaks in 2025 thanks to high ETF buys.