MicroStrategy (MSTR) Faces Risk: $0 Convertible Bond Sparks Lender Recall Concerns

Vladimir Popescu
Bitcoin microstrategy CEO Michael Saylor
Source: CoinGape

MicroStrategy bond risk problems grow daily as their zero-percent convertible bonds worry lenders. They have every reason to be worried. The cryptocurrency debt risks linked to their huge Bitcoin pile – 444,262 coins worth $41.249 billion – have everyone watching closely. Let’s explore this topic further and see if the situation is really that bad.

Bitcoin price chart
Source: CoinMarketCap

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Convertible Bond Risks and Their Impact on Crypto Markets

MicroStrategy Bitcoin
Source: Yahoo

Zero-Percent Convertible Notes: A Double-Edged Sword

The MicroStrategy bond risk is at a value of a whopping $7.27 billion in convertible debt. Amazing numbers, right? “Bitcoin prices have dropped over 8.63% in the last one-month and it’s approximately 17% below the all-time high of $108,319.87,” market analyst Rishabh Mishra states. It is safe to state that these cryptocurrency debt risks are real, even though no one holds the loans against anything.

Market Capitalization and Default Triggers

MSTR stock price movements
Source: Yahoo Finance

The Microstrategy crypto strategy needs prices to stay steady. If Bitcoin drops hard, bad things happen to MSTR shares. “If the BTC prices were to fall sharply, the shares of its levered play MSTR will decline too, leading to an erosion in its market capitalization,” explains Mishra, pointing out the lender recall implications.

mstr-stock-price-6-m
Source: Yahoo Finance

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Strategic Response and Risk Management

MicroStrategy has a big bond problem, and they’re not happy about it. They have a plan. They’re getting rid of old loans by taking new ones. A bit of a confusing idea, right? CEO Michael Saylor calls this the21/21 Plan.”

What’s the actual plan, you ask? They want to get $21 billion from selling their own shares. They also want to get $21 billion from new bonds.

This will happen over a period of about three years. Right now, they want to sell $2 billion in stocks. They’ll do this in early 2025, and they hope this money will help them deal with their crypto debt problems.

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Market Impact and Future Outlook

MicroStrategy has tons of Bitcoin, and they’re very satisfied with that. Just so you understand how much BTC, they own more than 2 out of every 100 Bitcoin in the world. Amazing stat, right? We at Watcher Guru agree.

This makes their bonds very risky unfortunately. Every time Bitcoin’s price goes up or down, MicroStrategy shakes from the foundation up.

Mishra had this to say:

“Changes in Bitcoin prices and the limited supply of the asset could create massive volatility for the company,”

The market is waiting to see what the company will do as we speak. Why is that? Their huge pile of Bitcoin means trouble if prices drop again. Even small price changes can hurt them badly. It’s like having all your eggs in one very wobbly basket and going on a hike.