US Dollar in Dangerous Waters: DXY Index Could Fall Below 100

Vinod Dsouza
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Source: Shutterstock

The US dollar is treading dangerous waters, falling to its seven-month low in the indices this week. The DXY index, which tracks the performance of the US dollar, shows the currency plummeting to 100.71 in the charts.

It fell from a high of 106.05 in June to 100.70 in August 2024. That’s a dip of 5.35 points in just two months, making local currencies top in the forex markets.

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Source: MarketWatch

Dangers loom for the US dollar as the DXY index is close to falling below the 100 mark. Leading financial analyst Peter Schiff took to X and predicted that the USD could “easily” fall below 90 next. “The Dollar Index closed at 100.67. The index could easily sink below 90 before year-end, challenging the 2020 low,” he said.

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US Dollar: DXY Index Could Fall Below 90, Warns Peter Schiff

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Source: beincrypto.com

According to Schiff, the USD could fall to its 2020 low by the end of the year and trade below the 90 mark. That’s a sharp dip and could send the markets into a freefall. He forecasted that when the US dollar dips below 90, it could trigger a recession in the US economy. He said the timeline for the downturn could be next year in 2025.

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“I think that low will be breached in 2025, triggering a US dollar crisis, crashing the economy, and sending consumer prices and long-term interest rates soaring,” he said.

The USD’s strength is being questioned as global macroeconomic pressures finally get into the currency. “The U.S. Dollar Index just tanked to a 13-month low. The ‘strength’ of the dollar is the main reason YoY inflation fell from 9% to 3%. Ironically, the Fed is using ‘low’ inflation as an excuse to cut rates, but cutting rates will send the dollar tanking and inflation soaring,” tweeted Schiff.