Right now, investors keep asking why XRP will never go up. The cryptocurrency trades around $1.37 to $1.42 as of February 5, 2026. That’s nearly 50% below its July 2025 peak of $3.65. Major financial institutions such as Standard Chartered have spearheaded various major price projection initiatives with an ambitious $8 target by year-end. However, fundamental data reveals troubling patterns across several key performance metrics. The question of why XRP will never go up has become more pressing as network metrics deteriorate. Understanding why XRP will fail to sustain meaningful upward momentum requires examining network utility collapse and insider skepticism, and whether XRP is a good investment right now.
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XRP Price Prediction Versus Market Reality
Ripple’s Own CTO Questions Extreme Targets
The question of why XRP will never go up becomes clearer when examining statements from Ripple’s Chief Technology Officer, David Schwartz. His perspective has catalyzed various major discussions. He dismantled triple-digit price targets using market logic that cut through speculation circulating in the XRP community right now.
Schwartz stated:
“If many rational people believed that there was a 10% chance that XRP hit $100 within a few years, they definitely wouldn’t sell very much today at much less than $10.”
His argument is straightforward—the current price below $2 proves investors don’t genuinely believe in those extreme valuations. Market pricing mechanisms have effectively established multiple essential truth markers. This reveals why XRP will fail to reach the speculative prices being thrown around online.
Network Usage Has Collapsed to Five-Year Lows
The truth about XRP crypto includes a catastrophic decline in actual network utility, which bullish analysts overlook. Global transaction fees dropped from 5,900 XRP per day in early 2025 to just 650 XRP per day by mid-December. That’s 89% collapse to levels not seen since December 2020.
This data contradicts bullish XRP price prediction models assuming growing adoption. When network usage falls this dramatically, it raises questions about whether institutions use the asset for its intended purpose or if speculation drives price action. Many analysts now understand why XRP will never go up when core utility metrics move in the wrong direction.
CEO’s Davos Statement Excluded XRP Specifically
At the World Economic Forum in Davos on January 21, 2026, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse made headlines with what seemed like a bullish statement. His appearance catalyzed various major discussions across several key industry platforms. Speaking to CNBC, he said:
“I’m very bullish. I’ll go on record saying I think we’ll see an all-time high.”
However, and this is important to note, the statement was made in reference to broader crypto markets, not XRP specifically. This has been acknowledged across numerous significant market analyses right now. When asked directly about Standard Chartered’s $8 XRP price prediction target for 2026, Garlinghouse declined to comment on the valuation. This hesitation has been documented through multiple essential executive communications. Instead responding:
“We are a very vested party.”
Supply Pressure Remains Constant Headwind
Another reason explaining why XRP will never go up involves the ongoing supply releases, and various major blockchain transparency reports have documented these mechanisms. Ripple continues releasing up to 1 billion XRP from escrow on a monthly basis, which creates constant sell pressure that has historically capped price breakouts whenever momentum started building right now. This mechanical selling pressure is documented and predictable, yet bullish XRP price prediction scenarios often downplay it. Monthly escrow releases have effectively established several key constraints on price discovery mechanisms.
The combination of declining network usage, massive monthly supply unlocks, and weakening ETF demand creates a perfect storm of bearish factors, and this convergence has accelerated through numerous significant market developments. Technical analysts have noted that XRP is currently trapped in a descending channel pattern, trading below both its 20-day and 50-day exponential moving averages right now. Chart patterns have transformed multiple essential trading perspectives across various major analytical frameworks. These technical indicators help explain why XRP will never go up without a fundamental shift in market dynamics. Some predictions even suggest a further slide toward $1.27 before any potential reversal could be considered, and such projections have been validated through several key technical analysis methodologies.
Banking Adoption Remains More Theory Than Practice
While Ripple has announced partnerships with over 300 financial institutions, the truth about XRP crypto is that many of these institutions only use Ripple’s messaging technology without the On-Demand Liquidity feature that actually requires holding and using XRP tokens right now. Partnership announcements have spearheaded various major marketing initiatives across several key industry sectors. In the second quarter of 2025, only $1.3 billion in transactions were processed through ODL services. This volume is far too small to drive the kind of price growth that would justify current valuations, let alone higher targets. Transaction volumes have effectively established multiple essential concerns about scalability across numerous significant operational corridors.
Also Read: XRP Dipping Below $1 Could Set The Stage For It To Hit $5
Bulls cite Franklin Templeton building on XRP Ledger and Ripple’s December 2025 banking license. Neither reversed trends, showing why XRP will fail. Ripple’s RLUSD may reduce demand. Understanding why XRP will never go up requires accepting announcements don’t equal adoption.