Ripple’s XRP token seems to be making a rebound amid a market-wide recovery. Bitcoin (BTC) has hit $111,000 once again after its recent dip to $109,000. XRP is also following a similar trend. According to CoinGecko data, XRP has rallied 4% in the last 24 hours, 1.3% in the last week, and 2.5% over the previous month. Despite the rally, the asset is still down 4.5% in the 14-day charts. October has been a bearish month for XRP over the last decade. Let’s discuss if 2025 will prove to be different.


Will XRP Rally in October 2025?


XRP’s bearish October history could be due to multiple factors. Ripple’s lawsuit with the SEC presented substantial challenges to XRP’s price over the last few years. With the lawsuit out of the way, XRP could pivot from its historical pattern.
Another reason for XRP to perform well this October is the possibility of another interest rate cut. CME’s FedWatch tool shows that there is an 89.3% chance of another 25 basis point interest rate cut in October. Another rate cut could lead to massive inflows into the crypto market. XRP could benefit from such a development.


There are also several spot XRP ETF applications awaiting approval at the SEC. Positive developments around an ETF approval could lead to a spike in institutional interest. ETFs have played a central role in the current market cycle. A similar pattern could emerge for XRP as well, given that an ETF is approved.
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However, there is always a possibility that the market will not recover next month. The crypto market is still quite fragile, and macroeconomic factors could present challenges. Market participants may be moving their funds into gold and other commodities. How things move for XRP is yet to be seen.