What’s Driving the De-Dollarization Shift?

Vinod Dsouza
USD notes us dollar
Source: AFP

The world of economics is waking up to the realities of de-dollarization, where local currencies are increasingly seeking domination. The US dollar is the new target for developing countries as they believe the White House has weaponized the currency. From sanctions to tariffs and trade wars, the US dollar is being used to suppress other currencies from coming up in the forex markets.

What Made De-Dollarization Grow?

USD de-dollarization
Source: Pixabay

De-dollarization has now grown into less hostility against the US dollar, but increased usability of local currencies for trade and transactions. It can be referred to as a gradual shift from the West-based world order to a new multipolar financial order. The whole goal is not to end the reign of the US dollar entirely, but to reduce dependency on the currency. This allows local currencies the opportunity to level the field in the broader forex markets.

Central banks are already preparing for the shift by diversifying their reserves by accumulating gold and other local currencies along with the US dollar. These assets are taking up the space that the USD once dominated for decades. The realignment is underpinning international trade, changing commodity prices, and also leading to a paradigm shift in policies. Geopolitical tensions are among the reasons why emerging economies want to pursue de-dollarization.

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The capital markets of developing countries are now at par with the global markets, as they have evolved in the last two decades. Their financial strength is what’s giving them the confidence that they can do without the US dollar. De-dollarization makes them less vulnerable to the whims of the White House and the growing National debt. The US debt already crossed the $39 trillion mark and is now marching towards $40 trillion.

Therefore, holding the US dollar in the central bank reserves is extremely risky. Countries holding the currency will have to swallow the bitter pill while they fund America’s deficit. All of these developments led to the rise of the de-dollarization agenda, where developing countries want to be financially independent. The role of the US dollar in global finances remains questionable in the coming decades.